Blog

Notes from Predict

Product launches, market analyses, and engineering posts from the team building the prediction-market infrastructure.

Jan 15, 2026
How prediction markets called the 2024 election
A look at how Kalshi's election markets stacked up against the polls and what we learned.
Dec 20, 2025
Building real-time settlement at scale
The infrastructure choices behind sub-second resolution on millions of contracts.
Dec 02, 2025
What 12 months of Fed-rate markets taught us
Comparing Predict-implied probabilities to consensus surveys across the FOMC cycle.
Nov 14, 2025
Behind the scenes: writing market rules
How our markets team turns ambiguous real-world events into resolvable contracts.
Oct 29, 2025
Introducing the Creator Program
Build markets the world wants to trade — and earn a cut of the volume.